crostrends.blogg.se

The remaining 40% will have been wagered on the opponent. If Team X has received 60% of the ATS (“against the spread”) betting handle, that means $60 out of every $100 wagered on this game has been on Team X to cover the spread. The percentage of the total handle means the amount of money bet on Team X compared to their opponent. The difference between those two concepts is explained below. The public betting percentages are split into the percentage of the handle and the percentage of the bets a team has received from the public. Sportsbooks monitor the amount of money their customers have wagered on NCAAB teams (in order to effectively manage their exposure) and then share that information with SBD. What Are NCAAB Public Betting Percentages?īasically, this page is tracking the amount of money bet on each team in a college basketball game. You can still bet against the consensus, but instead of trying to figure out if one team is more likely to cover over the other, or if the total is going to go OVER or UNDER the oddsmaker’s set number, you simply have to pick a Sportsbook.Note that during the regular season, this page only tracks the public’s betting record in games with at least one top-25 team. If you’re unsure if fading the public is the right move for you, choose the moneyline. That can be a significant edge and will pay off over the course of a season, resulting in a few extra wins. Lines on those teams are created accordingly so bettors willing to take the underdog are typically working with an extra point, if not more than that. They also tend to like popular teams like the Dallas Cowboys, Pittsburgh Steelers, New Orleans Saints and whoever won the previous season’s Super Bowl. Two of the most common public plays are taking the favorite and OVER odds in nationally televised games such as Monday Night Football. However, that doesn’t mean you can’t make a profit betting against the NFL public and waiting for better odds. Since the betting community tends to be wrong as much as they are right, online sportsbooks use these trends to their advantage when setting the odds and betting lines. Why?īecause odds experts are the ones who set the Sportsbook numbers with the public in mind, trying to get them to lean in a certain direction. If NFL bettors knew what they were doing on a consistent basis, online betting sites would not make any money. Can You Outsmart a Sportsbook by Fading the Public?Ī successful oddsmaker is one who anticipates the public by looking at betting trends, past scores and odds.

You can also look to our NFL Betting Trends page for even more handicapping data, like how often the total has gone OVER or UNDER when these two squads played each other in the past. KC is no longer favored by a touchdown, allowing you to pounce on these new odds and take the other side.įollowing NFL line moves gives you the chance to figure out who the public is betting on and determine which side of the bet you want to back. But, by Thursday the line moves to -3.5/+3.5 because of an injury to a key player, shifting the odds. Let’s pretend the public is heavily backing the Chiefs. In the case of going against public money NFL bets, all you really need is the line to move to make a solid bet.įor example, the Kansas City Chiefs are playing the Los Angeles Rams and the odds opened like this on Monday: Sharps – experienced bettors – see these initial line moves and try to wait as long as possible until they believe the odds are at their peak before betting the other side. First-time bettors may put their money down on a particular team because they like them, which in turn forces the sportsbook to adjust their Sportsbook odds. Successful point spread betting involves trying to get the best odds. This is also known as “fading” because you are taking the other side of where the NFL public money is going.

Conversely, if you believe that the 44 percent are right, you are betting against the public. If you believe that the 56 percent are right, you are betting with the public.

In this case, 56 percent of the betting public believe the Pats will cover the spread and 58 percent of bettors believe that the total will go OVER 34 points.